Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | AC Milan | 4 | 4 | 8 |
7 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 8 |
8 | Torino | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Inter Milan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Napoli | 4 | 7 | 8 |
5 | Juventus | 4 | 5 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
27.75% ( 0.3) | 25.74% ( 0.6) | 46.51% ( -0.91) |
Both teams to score 51.87% ( -1.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.23% ( -2.28) | 51.77% ( 2.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.46% ( -2.01) | 73.53% ( 2.01) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.7% ( -0.96) | 33.29% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.09% ( -1.08) | 69.91% ( 1.07) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( -1.35) | 22.24% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% ( -2.06) | 55.67% ( 2.06) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.75% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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