Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 82.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.17%) and 4-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Empoli |
82.66% ( 0) | 11.43% ( -0) | 5.91% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 47.49% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.51% ( 0.01) | 29.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.43% ( 0.01) | 50.57% ( -0.01) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.76% ( 0) | 5.23% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.32% ( 0.01) | 20.68% ( -0) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.11% | 49.89% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.42% ( 0) | 84.58% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 11.36% 3-0 @ 11.17% 4-0 @ 8.24% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.77% 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.73% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.86% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.99% 6-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.18% 7-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 82.66% | 1-1 @ 5.36% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.75% 0-0 @ 2.61% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 11.43% | 1-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 5.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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