Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
34.24% ( -0.29) | 25.76% ( 0.28) | 39.99% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.77% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.64% ( -1.3) | 49.36% ( 1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.59% ( -1.19) | 71.4% ( 1.19) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.4% ( -0.8) | 27.59% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.88% ( -1.04) | 63.12% ( 1.04) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% ( -0.58) | 24.35% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.24% ( -0.83) | 58.75% ( 0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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