Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Apr 2, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 0
Sampdoria

Wijnaldum (57'), Dybala (88' pen.), El Shaarawy (90+4')
Abraham (8'), Spinazzola (21'), Smalling (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Murillo (11'), Zanoli (49'), Paoletti (68'), Winks (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Roma
Sunday, March 19 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Sampdoria 3-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 19 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Amid a sense of disarray at the club - with successive Serie A defeats, several suspensions and Jose Mourinho's future all clouding their European exploits - Roma could stumble again. Samp have little left to lose and can see Sunday's game as a 'free hit' before a series of crucial contests against sides just above them in the table, so a point may be possible. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.16%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Sampdoria
69.78%	19.47%	10.75%

Both teams to score 40.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.54%

50.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.61%

72.38%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.67%

13.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.82%

40.18%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.28%

52.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.53%

86.47%

Score Analysis

Roma 69.78%

Sampdoria 10.75%

Draw 19.47%

Roma	Draw	Sampdoria
2-0 @ 14.27% 1-0 @ 14.16% 3-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 4.83% 4-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.96% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.42% Total : 69.78%	1-1 @ 9.06% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.47%	0-1 @ 4.5% 1-2 @ 2.9% 0-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.75%