Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Genoa |
40.03% | 27.09% | 32.89% |
Both teams to score 50.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.92% | 55.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.66% | 76.34% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% | 26.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% | 62.29% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.71% | 31.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.35% | 67.65% |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 9.8% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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