Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 23, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
0 - 4
Napoli

Damsgaard (28'), Depaoli (77')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Osimhen (10', 50'), Fabian (39'), Zielinski (59')
Manolas (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Napoli
18.95%	20.23%	60.81%

Both teams to score 59.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.21%

36.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.04%

58.96%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.23%

32.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.67%

69.33%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.26%

11.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.12%

36.88%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 18.95%

Napoli 60.81%

Draw 20.23%

Sampdoria	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 5.13% 1-0 @ 4.29% 2-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-1 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.19% Total : 18.95%	1-1 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 3.85% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.23%	1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 8.83% 0-1 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 7.03% 0-3 @ 6.3% 2-3 @ 3.92% 1-4 @ 3.77% 0-4 @ 3.38% 2-4 @ 2.1% 1-5 @ 1.61% 0-5 @ 1.45% 2-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.43% Total : 60.81%