Neither side has proved themselves secure defensively over recent weeks, and their respective strengths certainly lie in attack - so it could be an open affair.
While Sassuolo have benefited from a whole week to prepare, it has been another quick turnaround for Atalanta, who may ultimately be grateful to leave the Mapei Stadium with a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
