Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
39.69% | 28.39% | 31.92% |
Both teams to score 46.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.93% | 60.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.71% | 80.29% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% | 29.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.45% | 65.55% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.45% | 34.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.73% | 71.27% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 7.59% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.69% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |