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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
Spezia Calcio logo

Udinese
2 - 2
Spezia

Beto (22'), Pereyra (55')
Ehizibue (58'), Becao (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
N'Zola (6', 72')
Nikolaou (76'), Shomurodov (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Udinese
Saturday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, February 19 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-1 Spezia

With both teams struggling for wins in recent times, we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides lacking confidence at present. Udinese have drawn five of their last seven matches at home, while Spezia are likely to be desperate to impress their new manager by avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
UdineseDrawSpezia
59.51% (0.153 0.15) 22.01% (-0.159 -0.16) 18.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.3% (0.526 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.694 0.69)45.65% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.657 0.66)67.98% (-0.657 -0.66)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.283 0.28)14.96% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (0.538 0.54)43.37% (-0.537 -0.54)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.413 0.41)38.5% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.392 0.39)75.25% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 59.51%
    Spezia 18.48%
    Draw 22%
UdineseDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.58% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 59.51%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.48%

How you voted: Udinese vs Spezia

Udinese
72.9%
Draw
18.6%
Spezia
8.5%
59
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
May 14, 2022 5pm
Udinese
2-3
Spezia
Molina (26'), Mari (90+4')
Nuytinck (18'), Pereyra (72'), Arslan (90+5')
Verde (35'), Gyasi (45+3'), Maggiore (47')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (80')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Jan 31, 2021 11.30am
Spezia
0-1
Udinese

Pobega (23'), Vignali (39'), Bastoni (66'), Acampora (69'), Saponara (82')
Saponara (86')
De Paul (52' pen.)
Bonifazi (16'), De Paul (71'), De Maio (90')
De Paul (75')
Sep 30, 2020 5pm
Udinese
0-2
Spezia
Galabinov (29', 90+4')
Terzi (39'), Ferrer (79'), Ramos (86'), Farias (90+4')
Terzi (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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