Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
59.51% ( 0.15) | 22.01% ( -0.16) | 18.48% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.3% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.34% ( 0.69) | 45.65% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.02% ( 0.66) | 67.98% ( -0.66) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% ( 0.28) | 14.96% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.63% ( 0.54) | 43.37% ( -0.54) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% ( 0.41) | 38.5% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.75% ( 0.39) | 75.25% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.51% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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