Ternana

0 - 3

Bari

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.