Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 16, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 2
Mafra

Jo (84')
Sousa (8'), Morim (37'), Jo (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Almeida (64', 77')
Braganca (89'), Braganca (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Chaves and Mafra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Porto
Thursday, December 8 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mafra

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Mafra 1-1 Vizela
Monday, December 5 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Mafra win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Mafra
54.21% ( 0.06)	23.43%	22.36% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.32% (

-0.07)

46.68% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.05% (

-0.07)

68.95% (

0.07)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.88% (

-0.01)

17.12% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.66% (

-0.01)

47.34% (

Mafra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.88% (

-0.1)

35.12% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.13% (

-0.1)

71.87% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Chaves 54.21%

Mafra 22.36%

Draw 23.42%

Chaves	Draw	Mafra
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 54.21%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.42%	0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 22.36%