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Trophee des Champions | Final
Jul 31, 2022 at 7pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
4 - 0
Nantes

Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Trophee des Champions clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:
    Last Game: PSG 6-2 Gamba Osaka
    Monday, July 25 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

    Nantes

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
      Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

      We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Nantes

       Losing such an influential attacking outlet in Kolo Muani is a bitter blow for Nantes, but similarly, PSG will have to find a way to stomp their attacking authority without Mbappe in the fold. Kombouare's side have demonstrated some impressive defensive resilience in pre-season, but Galtier's new-look side still possess the creative nous to break through and get their hands on the Trophee des Champions for the 11th time. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.09%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

      Result
      Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
      70.6% (1.842 1.84) 17.32% (-0.871 -0.87) 12.09% (-0.968 -0.97)
      Both teams to score 52.59% (0.146 0.15)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      62.64% (1.69 1.69)37.36% (-1.689 -1.69)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      40.42% (1.798 1.8)59.58% (-1.793 -1.79)
      Paris Saint-Germain Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      90.57% (0.89999999999999 0.9)9.43% (-0.895 -0.9)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      68.3% (2.073 2.07)31.7% (-2.072 -2.07)
      Nantes Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      58.07% (-0.417 -0.42)41.93% (0.42 0.42)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      21.62% (-0.363 -0.36)78.38% (0.367 0.37)
      Score Analysis
          Paris Saint-Germain 70.6%
          Nantes 12.09%
          Draw 17.32%
      Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
      2-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
      2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.133 -0.13)
      1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.395 -0.4)
      3-0 @ 8.68% (0.314 0.31)
      3-1 @ 7.54% (0.189 0.19)
      4-0 @ 5.12% (0.375 0.38)
      4-1 @ 4.45% (0.278 0.28)
      3-2 @ 3.28% (0.045 0.04)
      5-0 @ 2.42% (0.263 0.26)
      5-1 @ 2.1% (0.207 0.21)
      4-2 @ 1.94% (0.1 0.1)
      6-0 @ 0.95% (0.136 0.14)
      5-2 @ 0.91% (0.081 0.08)
      Other @ 3.27%
      Total : 70.6%
      		1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.441 -0.44)
      2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.106 -0.11)
      0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.332 -0.33)
      3-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
      Other @ 0.13%
      Total : 17.32%
      		1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.235 -0.24)
      0-1 @ 3.44% (-0.331 -0.33)
      0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.164 -0.16)
      2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
      1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
      Other @ 1.4%
      Total : 12.09%

      How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

      Paris Saint-Germain
      93.3%
      Draw
      4.8%
      Nantes
      1.9%
      104
      Head to Head
      Feb 19, 2022 8pm
      Nantes
      3-1
      PSG
      Kolo (4'), Merlin (15'), Blas (45+5' pen.)
      Castelletto (17'), Appiah (45+1')
      Neymar (47')
      Verratti (38'), Wijnaldum (45+4'), Neymar (50'), Mbappe (83'), Hakimi (90+1'), di Maria (90+2')
      Nov 20, 2021 4pm
      PSG
      3-1
      Nantes
      Mbappe (2'), Appiah (81' og.), Messi (87')
      Verratti (71')
      Navas (65')
      Kolo (76')
      Chirivella (39'), Blas (83')
      Mar 14, 2021 8pm
      PSG
      1-2
      Nantes
      Draxler (42')
      Rafinha (48'), Verratti (67')
      Kolo (59'), Simon (71')
      Simon (45'), Traore (51')
      Oct 31, 2020 8pm
      Nantes
      0-3
      PSG

      Blas (32'), Coco (67')
      Herrera (47'), Mbappe (65' pen.), Sarabia (88')
      Dagba (80')
      Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
      Nantes
      1-2
      PSG
      Simon (68')
      Traore (85'), Coco (90')
      Icardi (29'), Kehrer (57')
      Verratti (36'), Meunier (76'), di Maria (90'), Kurzawa (90')
      rhs 2.0
      Euro 2024 fixtures header
      Friday, June 14
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Germany
      vs.
      Scotland
      Saturday, June 15
       
      2pm
      Group Stage
      Hungary
      vs.
      Switzerland
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      Spain
      vs.
      Croatia
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Italy
      vs.
      Albania
      Sunday, June 16
       
      2pm
      Group Stage
      Poland
      vs.
      Netherlands
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      Slovenia
      vs.
      Denmark
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Serbia
      vs.
      England
      Monday, June 17
       
      2pm
      Group Stage
      Romania
      vs.
      Ukraine
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      Belgium
      vs.
      Slovakia
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Austria
      vs.
      France
      Tuesday, June 18
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      Turkey
      vs.
      Georgia
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Portugal
      vs.
      Czech Republic
      Wednesday, June 19
       
      2pm
      Group Stage
      Croatia
      vs.
      Albania
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      Germany
      vs.
      Hungary
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Scotland
      vs.
      Switzerland
      Thursday, June 20
       
      2pm
      Group Stage
      Slovenia
      vs.
      Serbia
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      Denmark
      vs.
      England
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Spain
      vs.
      Italy
      Friday, June 21
       
      2pm
      Group Stage
      Slovakia
      vs.
      Ukraine
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      Poland
      vs.
      Austria
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Netherlands
      vs.
      France
      Saturday, June 22
       
      2pm
      Group Stage
      Georgia
      vs.
      Czech Republic
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      Turkey
      vs.
      Portugal
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Belgium
      vs.
      Romania
      Sunday, June 23
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Scotland
      vs.
      Hungary
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Switzerland
      vs.
      Germany
      Monday, June 24
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Albania
      vs.
      Spain
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Croatia
      vs.
      Italy
      Tuesday, June 25
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      France
      vs.
      Poland
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      Netherlands
      vs.
      Austria
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Denmark
      vs.
      Serbia
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      England
      vs.
      Slovenia
      Wednesday, June 26
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      Slovakia
      vs.
      Romania
       
      5pm
      Group Stage
      Ukraine
      vs.
      Belgium
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Czech Republic
      vs.
      Turkey
       
      8pm
      Group Stage
      Georgia
      vs.
      Portugal
      Saturday, June 29
       
      5pm
      Round of 16
      2nd Group A
      vs.
      2nd Group B
       
      8pm
      Round of 16
      1st Group A
      vs.
      2nd Group C
      Sunday, June 30
       
      5pm
      Round of 16
      1st Group C
      vs.
      3rd Group D/E/F
       
      8pm
      Round of 16
      1st Group B
      vs.
      3rd Group A/D/E/F
      Monday, July 1
       
      5pm
      Round of 16
      2nd Group D
      vs.
      2nd Group E
       
      8pm
      Round of 16
      1st Group F
      vs.
      3rd Group A/B/C
      Tuesday, July 2
       
      5pm
      Round of 16
      1st Group E
      vs.
      3rd Group A/B/C/D
       
      8pm
      Round of 16
      1st Group D
      vs.
      2nd Group F
      Friday, July 5
       
      5pm
      Quarter-Finals
      Winner Match 39
      vs.
      Winner Match 37
       
      8pm
      Quarter-Finals
      Winner Match 41
      vs.
      Winner Match 42
      Saturday, July 6
       
      5pm
      Quarter-Finals
      Winner Match 40
      vs.
      Winner Match 38
       
      8pm
      Quarter-Finals
      Winner Match 43
      vs.
      Winner Match 44
      > View full version> Results
      Tables header RHS

      Group A

      TeamPWDLPTS
      1 Germany Germany00000
      2 Hungary Hungary00000
      3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
      4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

      Group B

      TeamPWDLPTS
      1 Albania national flag Albania00000
      2 Croatia Croatia00000
      3 Italy Italy00000
      4 Spain Spain00000

      Group C

      TeamPWDLPTS
      1 Denmark Denmark00000
      2 England flag England00000
      3 Serbia Serbia00000
      4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

      Group D

      TeamPWDLPTS
      1 Austria Austria00000
      2 France France00000
      3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
      4 Poland Poland00000

      Group E

      TeamPWDLPTS
      1 Belgium Belgium00000
      2 Romania Romania00000
      3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
      4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

      Group F

      TeamPWDLPTS
      1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
      2 Georgia Georgia00000
      3 Portugal Portugal00000
      4 Turkey Turkey00000
      > European Championship 2024 overview


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