European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 24, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadionul Steaua, Bucuresti

Romania U21s
0 - 1
Ukraine U21s

Lixandru (13'), Petrila (30'), Albu (90+1'), Racovitan (90+1'), Dumitrescu (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dican (89' og.)
Vanat (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Romania Under-21s and Ukraine Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Romania U21s 0-3 Spain U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-21s	1	3	3
2	Ukraine Under-21s	1	2	3
3	Croatia Under-21s	1	-2	0
4	Romania Under-21s	1	-3	0

Ukraine Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Ukraine U21s 2-0 Croatia U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-21s	1	3	3
2	Ukraine Under-21s	1	2	3
3	Croatia Under-21s	1	-2	0
4	Romania Under-21s	1	-3	0

We said: Romania Under-21s 1-2 Ukraine Under-21s

With Romania having played the group and, arguably, tournament favourites, they will feel that they can turn things around against Ukraine. However, Ukraine are full of confidence and have Mudryk at their disposal, leading us to predict a narrow win for a team who are effectively the visitors in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine Under-21s win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Romania Under-21s had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Romania Under-21s win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ukraine Under-21s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ukraine Under-21s.

Result
Romania Under-21s	Draw	Ukraine Under-21s
19.78% ( 0.52)	22.5% ( 0.15)	57.72% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.1% (

0.09)

45.9% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.79% (

0.09)

68.21% (

-0.08)

Romania Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.77% (

0.6)

37.23% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.98% (

0.59)

74.02% (

-0.58)

Ukraine Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.37% (

-0.18)

15.63% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.36% (

-0.35)

44.64% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Romania Under-21s 19.78%

Ukraine Under-21s 57.71%

Draw 22.5%

Romania Under-21s	Draw	Ukraine Under-21s
1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.64% Total : 19.78%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.5%	0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 10.02% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 57.71%