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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
1 - 0
River Plate

Rodriguez (34')
Ramirez (88'), Lacoste (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 2-1 Cerro
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Racing
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawRiver Plate
30.38% (-1.598 -1.6) 29.15% (-0.483 -0.48) 40.46% (2.077 2.08)
Both teams to score 43.56% (0.8 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37% (1.199 1.2)63% (-1.206 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (0.858 0.86)82.46% (-0.863 -0.86)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (-0.544 -0.54)37.28% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (-0.54 -0.54)74.06% (0.535 0.53)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (1.861 1.86)30.54% (-1.867 -1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (2.155 2.16)66.76% (-2.161 -2.16)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 30.38%
    River Plate 40.45%
    Draw 29.15%
CerroDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 30.38%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 11.38% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.15%
0-1 @ 13.5% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.334 0.33)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.328 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.282 0.28)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.119 0.12)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.139 0.14)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.45%

How you voted: Cerro vs River Plate

Cerro
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
River Plate
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 4
River Plate
3-2
Cerro
Castro (23'), Rivero (27'), Alfonso (90+4')
Rodriguez (17'), Magallanes (90+2')
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 2
River Plate
1-2
Cerro
Gonzalez (28')
Quintana (35'), Arezo (54'), Olivera (90')
Cabrera (45+2'), Tancredi (56')
Gonzalez (16')
Feb 22, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro
0-0
River Plate
Paiva (32'), Brasil (66')
Gonzalez (86')
Ospitaleche (68'), Rodriguez (79'), Herrera (83'), Fernandez (84')
Oct 16, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 12
Cerro
3-2
River Plate
Viera (15'), Lopez (45' pen.), Acosta (79')
Gonzalez (33'), Lopez (65'), Nunez (74')
Gonzalez (48')
Rodriguez (26'), Alonso (50' pen.)
Mar 24, 2019 7pm
River Plate
2-1
Cerro
Plada (49'), Urruti (80')
Alonso (11'), Ospitaleche (35'), Ale (57')
Peraza (55')
Pellejero (11'), Brasil (16'), Alonso (58'), Roldan (74'), Tancredi (76'), Izquierdo (93')
Pellejero (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Montevideo WanderersWanderers11002023
2Defensor SportingDefensor11002023
3Racing de MontevideoRacing11002113
4ProgresoProgreso11001013
5FenixFenix100112-10
6River PlateRiver Plate100101-10
7Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado100102-20
8PenarolPenarol100102-20
Group 2
1CerroCerro11003033
2Miramar Misiones11001013
3DanubioDanubio10102201
4Cerro Largo10102201
5Boston RiverBoston River00000000
6Rampla JuniorsRampla00000000
7LiverpoolLiverpool100101-10
8NacionalNacional100103-30
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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