Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 20, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol1 - 0Boston River
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Boston River.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: La Luz 3-4 Penarol
Tuesday, February 14 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Tuesday, February 14 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Zamora 0-1 Boston River
Friday, February 17 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, February 17 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (12.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Boston River |
37.36% ( -0.03) | 30.32% ( 0.32) | 32.32% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 41.1% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
