Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
31.97% ( 0.34)	25.31% ( -0.05)	42.71% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 55.58% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.99% (

0.36)

48.01% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.82% (

0.33)

70.18% (

-0.33)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63% (

0.4)

28.37% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.89% (

0.5)

64.11% (

-0.5)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59% (

0.02)

22.41% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.07% (

0.03)

55.93% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Aberystwyth Town 31.97%

Pontypridd Town AFC 42.71%

Draw 25.31%

Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.97%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.71%