Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Latham Park
Newtown1 - 0Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
53.52% | 22.52% | 23.96% |
Both teams to score 58.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.11% | 40.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.72% | 63.28% |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.71% | 15.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.99% | 44% |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.48% | 30.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.25% | 66.74% |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 53.52%
Caernarfon Town 23.96%
Draw 22.52%
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 6.11% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 3.63% 4-1 @ 2.87% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.52% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-1 @ 5.54% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.93% Total : 23.96% |
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
0-2
Newtown
May 29, 2021 12pm
Caernarfon
3-5
Newtown
Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Dec 18, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
1-1
Newtown
Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')
O'Neill (31')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Caernarfon
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
P-P
Caernarfon
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-01 00:52:51
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