Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown2 - 3Connah's Quay
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 3-0 Newtown
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Caernarfon
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 53.28%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
23.97% ( 0.22) | 22.75% ( -0.08) | 53.28% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.04% ( 0.57) | 41.96% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% ( 0.57) | 64.37% ( -0.57) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.9% ( 0.49) | 31.1% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( 0.57) | 67.43% ( -0.57) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.24% ( 0.16) | 15.76% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.13% ( 0.29) | 44.87% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 23.97%
Connah's Quay Nomads 53.28%
Draw 22.75%
Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.97% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 53.28% |
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Newtown
1-2
Connah's Quay
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
0-0
Connah's Quay
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-15 00:21:04
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