World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos

Chile
0 - 0
Paraguay

Maripan (22'), Medel (78')
Mendez (88')

Gomez (38'), Caballero (71'), Rojas (78')
Rojas (44')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Venezuela 3-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 17 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	7	12
2	Uruguay	4	3	7
3	Brazil	4	3	7
4	Venezuela	4	3	7
5	Ecuador	4	1	7
6	Colombia	4	1	6
7	Paraguay	4	-1	4
8	Chile	4	-3	4
9	Peru	4	-5	1
10	Bolivia	4	-9	0

Paraguay

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Bolivia
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	7	12
2	Uruguay	4	3	7
3	Brazil	4	3	7
4	Venezuela	4	3	7
5	Ecuador	4	1	7
6	Colombia	4	1	6
7	Paraguay	4	-1	4
8	Chile	4	-3	4
9	Peru	4	-5	1
10	Bolivia	4	-9	0

Despite their disappointing defeat to Venezuela in the last round of games, Chile do boast more quality throughout their squad than the visitors, particularly with Almiron sidelined, and La Roja should fancy themselves to return to winning ways on home soil on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 73.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 7.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.45%) and 3-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.12%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Chile	Draw	Paraguay
73.98% ( 0.86)	18.28% ( -0.26)	7.74% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 33.35% (

-1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.89% (

-0.76)

54.1% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.47% (

-0.63)

75.53% (

0.64)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.81% (

0.03)

13.19% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.1% (

0.05)

39.9% (

-0.05)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.42% (

-1.92)

61.58% (

1.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.56% (

-0.96)

91.44% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Chile 73.96%

Paraguay 7.74%

Draw 18.28%

Chile	Draw	Paraguay
2-0 @ 16.66% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 16.45% ( 0.5) 3-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 73.96%	0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.24) 1-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.28%	0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.92% Total : 7.74%