World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Rizal Memorial Stadium
We said: Philippines 0-2 Iraq
While Philippines will be desperate to get their qualifying campaign on track, they face the stern challenge of taking on a significantly superior and more experienced Iraq side. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two nations, we are tipping Garcia's men to come away with a comfortable victory on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 41.72% . A win for Philippines had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.89%) . The likeliest Philippines win was 1-0 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%) . The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.
Result Philippines Draw Iraq 30.63% ( -0.02) 27.65% ( 0) 41.72% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.76% ( -0.01)
42.2% ( -0.01) 57.8% ( 0.01)
21.47% ( -0) 78.53% ( 0)
65.71% ( -0.02) 34.3% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29% ( -0.02) 71% ( 0.02)
72.69% ( 0) 27.31% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.25% ( 0.01) 62.75% ( -0)
Philippines 30.63%
Iraq 41.71%
Draw 27.64%
Philippines Draw Iraq 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.63% 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.64% 0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.71%
How you voted: Philippines vs Iraq
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rhs 2.0
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