Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Feb 25, 2024 at 6am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
2 - 2
Macarthur

Goodwin (71'), Stamatelopoulos (89' pen.)
O'Neill (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Davila (69'), Germain (81')
Auglah (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, February 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Wellington
Sunday, February 18 at 7.01am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Macarthur
43.09% ( 0.43)	22.41% ( -0.08)	34.5% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 67.07% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.62% (

0.32)

33.38% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.84% (

0.36)

55.16% (

-0.36)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

0.29)

16.22% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.29% (

0.53)

45.71% (

-0.53)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05% (

-0.02)

19.95% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.89% (

-0.04)

52.11% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 43.09%

Macarthur 34.5%

Draw 22.41%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.41%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.5%