Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
44.99% ( 0.27) | 23.44% ( -0.07) | 31.57% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 61.97% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.44% ( 0.25) | 39.56% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.09% ( 0.27) | 61.91% ( -0.27) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% ( 0.21) | 17.93% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.26% ( 0.36) | 48.74% ( -0.36) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% ( 0) | 24.49% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.05% ( 0) | 58.94% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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