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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Augsburg |
48.58% ( 0.33) | 25.01% ( -0.18) | 26.4% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.07% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.31% ( 0.62) | 49.69% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.3% ( 0.56) | 71.7% ( -0.55) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( 0.39) | 20.48% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.05% ( 0.62) | 52.95% ( -0.62) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.74% ( 0.21) | 33.26% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.13% ( 0.23) | 69.87% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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