Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
1 - 1
Bayern

Becker (12')
Khedira (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kimmich (15')
Kimmich (26'), Gravenberch (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Schalke 1-6 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Bayern Munich	4	14	10
3	Union Berlin	4	8	10
4	Freiburg	4	4	9

Bayern Munich

Last Six:

Last Game: Viktoria Koln 0-5 Bayern
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.46pm in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Borussia Dortmund	5	4	12
2	Bayern Munich	4	14	10
3	Union Berlin	4	8	10

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern Munich

Union Berlin have claimed two 1-1 draws against Bayern in six meetings since gaining promotion, and we can envisage a repeat of that scoreline on Saturday. The hosts have the pace and finishing ability to significantly damage the Bavarians' high defensive line, but the visitors have more than enough quality going the other way in order to remain unbeaten. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.53%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 7.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.08%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.61%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
7.2% ( -0.48)	12.28% ( -1.25)	80.53% ( 1.74)

Both teams to score 52.04% (

3.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.98% (

4.9)

28.02% (

-4.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.24% (

5.86)

48.77% (

-5.85)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.97% (

2.58)

45.04% (

-2.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.04% (

1.99)

80.96% (

-1.98)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.68% (

1.32)

5.32% (

-1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.07% (

3.7)

20.93% (

-3.69)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 7.2%

Bayern Munich 80.52%

Draw 12.28%

Union Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.43) Other @ 3.05% Total : 7.2%	1-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.75) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.76) Other @ 0.99% Total : 12.28%	0-2 @ 10.31% ( -1.31) 0-3 @ 10.08% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 8.04% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 7.39% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -1.54) 1-4 @ 5.9% ( 0.61) 0-5 @ 4.34% ( 0.47) 1-5 @ 3.46% ( 0.59) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.31) 2-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.39) 0-6 @ 2.12% ( 0.37) 1-6 @ 1.69% ( 0.39) 2-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.31) Other @ 4.99% Total : 80.52%