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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
51.77% ( -0.11) | 22.93% ( -0.04) | 25.3% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 58.93% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.53% ( 0.34) | 41.47% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.13% ( 0.34) | 63.87% ( -0.34) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.9% ( 0.08) | 16.1% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.49% ( 0.15) | 45.51% ( -0.15) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.24% ( 0.3) | 29.76% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.17% ( 0.36) | 65.83% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 25.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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