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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Millwall |
72.3% ( 0.25) | 17.9% ( 0.17) | 9.8% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 42.36% ( -2.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.45% ( -1.95) | 46.55% ( 1.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.17% ( -1.86) | 68.83% ( 1.86) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.53% ( -0.47) | 11.47% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.69% ( -1.03) | 36.31% ( 1.04) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.85% ( -2.1) | 52.15% ( 2.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.9% ( -1.41) | 86.1% ( 1.41) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Millwall |
2-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.81) 3-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.22) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.21% Total : 72.29% | 1-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.51% Total : 17.9% | 0-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.89% Total : 9.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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