EFL Trophy | Second Round

Nov 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Sears (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Connolly (53'), Saunders (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Colchester United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Colchester 3-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Colchester United 0-1 Bristol Rovers

Both sides come into this knockout tie after important home wins in their respective leagues at the weekend, so neither will be fearing their opposition and should be eyeing an enjoyable run in the competition. Colchester looked impressive in their win over Doncaster but an assignment against an in-form Bristol Rovers from the league above may prove too much for The U's on the night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Colchester United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
42.73% ( -0.16)	24.86% ( 0.05)	32.41% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 57.29% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.14% (

-0.18)

45.86% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.82% (

-0.17)

68.17% (

0.17)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

-0.16)

21.49% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

-0.23)

54.53% (

0.23)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

-0.02)

27.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6% (

-0.02)

62.4% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Colchester United 42.73%

Bristol Rovers 32.41%

Draw 24.86%

Colchester United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.73%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86%	1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.41%