Friendlies 1

Jun 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St. James' Park

England
3 - 0
Bosnia H'vina

Palmer (60' pen.), Alexander-Arnold (85'), Kane (89')
Guehi (29'), Branthwaite (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tahirovic (59'), Gazibegovic (64')

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England 3-0 Bosnia: What Gareth Southgate learned from Euro 2024 warm-up win

Sports Mole picks out three things that Gareth Southgate learned about his England squad from their 3-0 Euro 2024 warm-up win over Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Jun 3, 22:16

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: England 2-2 Belgium
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Denmark	0	0	0
3	Serbia	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-2 Ukraine
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for England in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for England.

Result
England	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
65.49% ( -0.04)	19.79% ( 0.02)	14.71% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.42% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.3% (

-0.01)

42.7% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.9% (

-0.01)

65.1% (

0.01)

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.77% (

-0.01)

12.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.08% (

-0.03)

37.92% (

0.03)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.58% (

0.03)

41.42% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.07% (

0.02)

77.92% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

England 65.49%

Bosnia-Herzegovina 14.71%

Draw 19.79%

England	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
2-0 @ 11.18% 1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 65.49%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.79%	0-1 @ 4.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 14.71%