Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Granada |
43.15% ( -0.76) | 28.04% ( 0.29) | 28.81% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 45.85% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.18% ( -0.79) | 59.82% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.9% ( -0.61) | 80.1% ( 0.61) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( -0.77) | 27.49% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.02% ( -1) | 62.98% ( 1) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.23% ( -0.05) | 36.77% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.45% ( -0.05) | 73.56% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.82% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |