Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Villarreal |
30.53% ( 1.62) | 26.3% ( 0.96) | 43.17% ( -2.58) |
Both teams to score 51.76% ( -2.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.32% ( -3.21) | 52.68% ( 3.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.68% ( -2.82) | 74.32% ( 2.82) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.3% ( -0.48) | 31.7% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.88% ( -0.56) | 68.12% ( 0.57) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% ( -2.6) | 24.22% ( 2.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.44% ( -3.83) | 58.56% ( 3.83) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.53% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.93) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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