Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw has a probability of 17.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 0-1 (3.61%).
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
70.05% ( 0.69) | 17.69% ( -0.35) | 12.26% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 51.75% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.28% ( 0.83) | 38.72% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.97% ( 0.88) | 61.03% ( -0.87) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.08% ( 0.39) | 9.92% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.16% ( 0.9) | 32.84% ( -0.9) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.45% ( 0.02) | 42.55% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.09% ( 0.01) | 78.91% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
2-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.71% Total : 70.04% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.69% | 0-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.37% Total : 12.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |