Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.64%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Villarreal |
12.29% ( 0.13) | 20.58% ( 0.17) | 67.13% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 42.44% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.76% ( -0.37) | 51.24% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( -0.32) | 73.07% ( 0.33) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.56% ( -0) | 50.44% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.04% | 84.96% ( 0) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.63% ( -0.21) | 14.37% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.74% ( -0.41) | 42.26% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 12.29% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.58% | 0-1 @ 14.06% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 13.64% 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.82% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 4.28% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 67.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |