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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Valencia logo

Celta Vigo
2 - 2
Valencia

Aspas (49' pen.), Douvikas (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dominguez (5' og.), Mari (60' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 1-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-3 Girona
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Valencia

With these two sides entering this contest in contrasting form, Celta will be backed to continue their strong run. Nevertheless, we are selecting Valencia to regain some confidence in their concluding fixture, even if it will not make up for the disappointment of missing out on Europe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawValencia
53.24% (0.434 0.43) 25.72% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 21.04% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 45.35% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.03% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)56.97% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.13% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)77.87% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.152 0.15)21.47% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (0.23 0.23)54.5% (-0.224 -0.22)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.74% (-0.418 -0.42)42.26% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.34% (-0.363 -0.36)78.66% (0.369 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 53.22%
    Valencia 21.04%
    Draw 25.72%
Celta VigoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 13.95% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.045 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 53.22%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.04%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Valencia

Celta Vigo
45.8%
Draw
19.4%
Valencia
34.7%
72
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2024 7pm
Round of 16
Valencia
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pepelu (29' pen.)
Gasiorowski (86')
De la Torre (13'), Douvikas (18' pen., 80')
Vazquez (48'), Swedberg (68')
Nov 25, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Valencia
0-0
Celta Vigo
Amallah (77'), Pepelu (87'), Guillamon (90+2')
Cervi (71'), Nunez (79')
May 14, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 34
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Seferovic (60')
Kluivert (8'), Mari (88')
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Valencia
3-0
Celta Vigo
Castillejo (37'), Maranhao (82'), Almeida (90+3')
May 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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