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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Osauna logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Osasuna

Hernandez (40' og.), Isi (43')
Garcia (48'), Catena (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gomez (66')
Kike (46'), Gomez (88'), Garcia (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, April 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Elche
Saturday, April 8 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Osasuna

There is not too much between these two teams in terms of quality, as the league table suggests, and we are expecting a close match on Friday night. Both managers would likely accept a point if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
46.84% (0.043000000000006 0.04) 26.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 26.31% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.17% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.24% (0.015999999999998 0.02)77.76% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.042000000000002 0.04)58.63% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)37.19% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 46.84%
    Osasuna 26.31%
    Draw 26.84%
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 26.31%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna

Rayo Vallecano
40.8%
Draw
33.8%
Osasuna
25.4%
71
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 1pm
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-3
Osasuna

Garcia (24'), Saveljich (34')
Moncayola (8'), Garcia (40'), Kike (90+3')
Vidal (70')
Oct 2, 2021 1pm
Osasuna
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Sanchez (90+1')
Torro (45'), Martinez (76'), Avila (90+5')

Balliu (5'), Trejo (32'), Falcao (41')
Feb 2, 2018 8pm
Sep 10, 2017 7.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-3
Osasuna

Chechu (37')
Hernandez (27'), Xisco (87', 94')
Torro (26'), Torres (41'), Arzura (74'), Castellano (81'), Merida (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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