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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Almeria

Real Madrid
4 - 2
Almeria

Benzema (5', 17', 42' pen.), Rodrygo (47')
Junior (37'), Camavinga (74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Lazaro (45+1'), Robertone (61')
Lazaro (66'), Mendes (67')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Almeria.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga fixture with Almeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-2 Almeria
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Almeria

Almeria, despite their victory last time out, have found it difficult on their travels this season, and they will be taking on a Real Madrid side looking to bounce back from a loss. The hosts will again be missing some key players, but we are expecting them to record their 21st league victory of the campaign on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 84.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 5.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 3-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.16%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAlmeria
84.22% (-0.917 -0.92) 9.88% (0.5299 0.53) 5.9% (0.3881 0.39)
Both teams to score 56.37% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.86% (-1.178 -1.18)20.14% (1.179 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.7% (-1.696 -1.7)38.3% (1.698 1.7)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.64% (-0.30499999999999 -0.3)3.36% (0.3059 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.23% (-1.046 -1.05)14.77% (1.048 1.05)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.33% (0.011000000000003 0.01)41.67% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.85% (0.010000000000002 0.01)78.15% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 84.22%
    Almeria 5.9%
    Draw 9.88%
Real MadridDrawAlmeria
3-0 @ 9.12% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.312 0.31)
3-1 @ 7.98% (0.096 0.1)
4-0 @ 7.73% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.276 0.28)
4-1 @ 6.77% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-0 @ 5.25% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-0 @ 4.75% (0.308 0.31)
5-1 @ 4.59% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.043 0.04)
6-0 @ 2.97% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 2.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
6-1 @ 2.6% (-0.19 -0.19)
5-2 @ 2.01% (-0.088 -0.09)
7-0 @ 1.44% (-0.149 -0.15)
7-1 @ 1.26% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-2 @ 1.14% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 5.03%
Total : 84.22%
1-1 @ 4.16% (0.272 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 1.4% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 9.88%
1-2 @ 1.82% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 1.23% (0.111 0.11)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 5.9%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Almeria

Real Madrid
85.5%
Draw
9.7%
Almeria
4.8%
62
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 9pm
gameweek 1
Almeria
1-2
Real Madrid
Ramazani (6')
Sadiq (40'), Curro (67'), Puigmal (86')
Vazquez (61'), Alaba (75')
Camavinga (40')
Apr 12, 2014 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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