League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Exeter City
We think that Bolton will narrowly come out on top and keep their push for promotion from League One on the right track.
The hosts are in better form, and we think they will create plenty of opportunities here.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.99% . A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 16.14% .
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%) , while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.96%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.
Result Bolton Wanderers Draw Exeter City 62.99% ( 0.31) 20.87% ( -0.06) 16.14% ( -0.25)
Both teams to score 51.26% ( -0.37)
55.35% ( -0.2) 44.65% ( 0.2)
32.99% ( -0.2) 67.01% ( 0.2)
86.45% ( 0.03) 13.55% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.37% ( 0.06) 40.63% ( -0.05)
59.29% ( -0.44) 40.71% ( 0.44)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.7% ( -0.4) 77.3% ( 0.4)
Bolton Wanderers 62.98%
Exeter City 16.14%
Draw 20.87%
Bolton Wanderers Draw Exeter City 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 62.98% 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.06) Other @ 1% Total : 20.87% 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.14%
How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter
Bolton Wanderers
Draw
Exeter City
14
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 05:10:39
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