League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
1 - 2
Sutton

Oteh (90+5')
Craig (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)
Randall (83'), Boldewijn (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Hartlepool
Friday, December 9 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Crawley Town 1-0 Sutton United

While Sutton United will be looking to end their poor run of results on the road, Monday's game pits them against a Crawley Town side who are unbeaten in five of their last six home games in the league. We are backing the Red Devils to end their losing streak in this fixture and return to winning ways in front of their home fans, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Sutton United
37.93% ( 0.11)	27.57% ( -0.09)	34.5% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.02% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.3% (

0.32)

56.69% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35% (

0.26)

77.65% (

-0.26)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.08% (

0.22)

28.91% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.21% (

0.27)

64.79% (

-0.27)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.95% (

0.15)

31.04% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.64% (

0.18)

67.36% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 37.93%

Sutton United 34.5%

Draw 27.56%

Crawley Town	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.93%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.5%