Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 1, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
1 - 0
Brest

Golovin (54')
Ben Seghir (40'), Golovin (77'), Sarr (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fadiga (25'), Slimani (69'), Pereira Lage (76'), Lees-Melou (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Monaco
Wednesday, December 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Lyon
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco's in-form forwards will be looking to fill their boots on their first outing of 2023, as their opening opponents of the new year are vulnerable at the back. Brest can cause problems for a home side which has defensive issues of their own, but will find the Monegasques' weight of attacking talent too much to withstand. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Brest
60.11% ( -0.01)	21.39% ( 0)	18.5% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.09% (

-0.01)

42.9% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.69% (

-0.01)

65.31% (

0.01)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13% (

-0.01)

13.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.75% (

-0.01)

41.25% (

0.01)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.13%

36.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.34% (

-0)

73.65%

Score Analysis

Monaco 60.1%

Brest 18.5%

Draw 21.38%

Monaco	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.01% Total : 60.1%	1-1 @ 10.07% 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.38%	0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 2.54% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.5%