Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Toulouse |
41.79% ( 0.54) | 26.15% ( 0.04) | 32.06% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 52.85% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.44% ( -0.32) | 51.55% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.65% ( -0.28) | 73.35% ( 0.28) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.58% ( 0.13) | 24.42% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.16% ( 0.19) | 58.84% ( -0.19) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( -0.55) | 30.07% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.79% ( -0.66) | 66.2% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |