Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 9.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
9.53% ( -0.04) | 14.35% ( -0.01) | 76.12% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 54.75% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.89% ( -0.08) | 30.11% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.68% ( -0.1) | 51.32% ( 0.1) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.58% ( -0.15) | 41.42% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.07% ( -0.13) | 77.93% ( 0.13) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.46% ( -0) | 6.53% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.63% ( -0.02) | 24.37% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 9.53% | 1-1 @ 6.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.35% | 0-2 @ 10.07% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 3% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.55% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.17% Total : 76.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |