Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Clermont |
43.78% ( -0.03) | 27.26% ( 0.04) | 28.95% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.09% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.99% ( -0.15) | 57.01% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.1% ( -0.12) | 77.9% ( 0.12) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.15% ( -0.08) | 25.85% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.18% ( -0.11) | 60.82% ( 0.11) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.86% ( -0.09) | 35.14% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.11% ( -0.09) | 71.89% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 28.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |