Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
17.57% ( -0.12) | 22.22% ( -0.26) | 60.22% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.05% ( 0.91) | 47.95% ( -0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.88% ( 0.83) | 70.13% ( -0.83) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.09% ( 0.4) | 40.92% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% ( 0.36) | 77.48% ( -0.35) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% ( 0.44) | 15.5% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.61% ( 0.81) | 44.4% ( -0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 4.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.57% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 11.02% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.25% Total : 60.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |