Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Austin4 - 3Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Austin 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Austin FC 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes
With talisman Driussi back in the starting XI, Austin are ready to climb the Western Conference and should be confident of defeating San Jose on Saturday night. The Quakes are without two key men for the trip to Texas, and we feel that a weakened-visiting side will be unable to collect any points at Q2 Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
49.96% ( 0.49) | 24.56% ( 0.01) | 25.48% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
