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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati have already clinched the Supporters' Shield, but we are not expecting a drop in performances levels as members of the squad attempt to impress Noonan in order to start in the playoffs. New York Red Bulls face a tough trio of fixtures as they attempt to sneak into the top nine of the Eastern Conference, and we feel their efforts will be unrewarded at TQL Field on Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
53.37% (0.13 0.13) 24.37% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 22.25% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 50.7% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)50.69% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)72.59% (0.041999999999987 0.04)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (0.055 0.05)50.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)37.46% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.13 -0.13)74.25% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 53.37%
    New York Red Bulls 22.25%
    Draw 24.37%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.25%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls

FC Cincinnati
78.6%
Draw
0.0%
New York Red Bulls
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
May 24, 2023
12.30am
Oct 15, 2022 5pm
First Round
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Morgan (48')
Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')
Aug 20, 2022 11pm
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Blackett (2'), Cruz (30'), Kubo (90+1')
Cruz (58'), Acosta (90+3')
Tolkin (30'), Edwards (45'), Long (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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