Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | Orlando City |
39.52% ( -0.2) | 25.97% ( 0.09) | 34.51% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.77% ( -0.39) | 50.23% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.81% ( -0.35) | 72.19% ( 0.35) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% ( -0.28) | 25% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% ( -0.39) | 59.65% ( 0.4) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% ( -0.13) | 27.85% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.54% ( -0.16) | 63.45% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | Orlando City |
1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.52% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |