Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.03%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.62%) and 3-1 (6.46%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
53.03% ( 0.01) | 21.13% | 25.84% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 66.09% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.68% ( -0.01) | 32.32% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.06% ( -0.01) | 53.94% ( 0.01) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.5% ( -0) | 12.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.52% | 38.48% |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( -0.01) | 24.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.07% ( -0.01) | 58.93% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 1.4% 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.58% Total : 53.03% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.13% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 25.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |