Major League Soccer

Sep 25, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
1 - 1
Inter Miami

McGuire (66')
Schlegel (60'), Jansson (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruiz (52')
Aviles (23'), Cremaschi (31'), Ruiz (54'), Yedlin (55'), Arroyo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 2-0 Orlando City
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 4-0 Toronto
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Orlando City 1-0 Inter Miami

The Herons have shown they can find ways to win even without Messi, but fatigue may be getting the better of this team in general, with fewer than a week to rest in between their matches since the Leagues Cup. Orlando are well-organised and compact defensively, and they have looked potent in the attacking third at home, so we expect them to find a way through what could be a defensive setup for the Herons on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 64.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Inter Miami
64.77% ( 0.2)	19.39% ( -0.11)	15.84% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.71% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.55% (

0.33)

38.45% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.26% (

0.35)

60.74% (

-0.35)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.82% (

0.14)

11.17% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.33% (

0.32)

35.66% (

-0.32)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.71% (

0.09)

37.28% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.93% (

0.09)

74.07% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 64.76%

Inter Miami 15.84%

Draw 19.39%

Orlando City	Draw	Inter Miami
2-0 @ 10% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.29% Total : 64.76%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.39%	1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 15.84%