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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
Minnesota United

Orlando City
2 - 3
Minnesota Utd

McGuire (1', 83')
Felipe (34')
Cartagena (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pukki (4', 38'), Hlongwane (90+5')
Trapp (32'), Boxall (43'), Taylor (70'), Arriaga (79'), Hlongwane (90+6'), St Clair (90+2')
Rosales (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Tigres
Wednesday, March 6 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, March 2 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-1 Minnesota United

While Orlando have made a less-than-impressive start to the season, they do still have a very good squad of players, and it should just be a matter of time until they find high gear. For now, though, Minnesota are the ones with the form and we feel they will keep their unbeaten record intact by taking a point from this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawMinnesota United
56.4% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 22.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.43% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)42.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.41% (0.027999999999999 0.03)64.59% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)14.79% (0.0029999999999983 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.94% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)43.06% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.048000000000002 0.05)33.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.053999999999998 0.05)70.1% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 56.4%
    Minnesota United 21.43%
    Draw 22.16%
Orlando CityDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 56.4%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.42%
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 21.43%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Aug 18, 2019 1am
Gameweek 32
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Orlando City
Danladi (92')
Gregus (32'), Gasper (63'), Opara (70')
Nani (70' pen.)
Dwyer (57')
Mar 11, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 3
Orlando City
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Yotun (42' pen.)
Laryea (56')
Finlay (12', 79')
Schuller (88'), Toye (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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