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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
New England Revolution

Orlando City
3 - 2
New England

McGuire (31'), Torres (37'), Angulo (45')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gil (42', 90+3')
McNamara (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 0-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-0 New England Revolution

While Orlando City and New England Revolution have already secured post-season football, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Exploria Stadium as both sides look to finish the regular season strong. The Lions have been near impenetrable at home in recent weeks and we fancy them coming out on top in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
56.24% (-0.679 -0.68) 22.03% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 21.72% (0.639 0.64)
Both teams to score 57.55% (0.829 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.76% (0.65000000000001 0.65)41.24% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.36% (0.658 0.66)63.63% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)14.52% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)42.54% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33% (0.965 0.97)32.67% (-0.968 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (1.066 1.07)69.21% (-1.068 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 56.24%
    New England Revolution 21.72%
    Draw 22.03%
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 56.24%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.129 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.72%

How you voted: Orlando City vs New England

Orlando City
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
New England Revolution
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 12.30am
New England
3-1
Orlando City
Boateng (51'), Bou (69'), Gil (85')
Buck (84'), Edwards Jr. (90+3'), Edwards Jr. (90+4')
McGuire (80')
Araujo (3'), Halliday (22')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
0-3
New England

Carlos (6'), Jansson (66'), Araujo (85')
Polster (20'), Kaptoum (51'), Kessler (75')
Oct 25, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 40
Orlando City
2-2
New England
Nani (39'), Dike (50' pen.)
Buksa (81', 90+3')
Sep 26, 2021 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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