Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | New England Revolution |
56.24% ( -0.68) | 22.03% ( 0.04) | 21.72% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 57.55% ( 0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.76% ( 0.65) | 41.24% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.36% ( 0.66) | 63.63% ( -0.66) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.48% ( 0) | 14.52% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.46% ( 0) | 42.54% ( -0.01) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.33% ( 0.97) | 32.67% ( -0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.78% ( 1.07) | 69.21% ( -1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 56.24% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |