Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
37.15% ( 0.16) | 23.79% ( 0.03) | 39.06% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 62.25% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.15% ( -0.12) | 39.84% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.8% ( -0.13) | 62.2% ( 0.13) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( 0.03) | 21.56% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.36% ( 0.05) | 54.64% ( -0.05) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.37% ( -0.14) | 20.63% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.8% ( -0.23) | 53.2% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.15% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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